University of Gottingen
Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
20 Apr - 15 May 2019
In collaboration with Dr. Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei and Dr. Stefan Siebert at the University of Gottingen, we worked in a research paper based on quantifying data aggregation effects (from soil [DAEs] and climate [DAEc] ) of model input data and their combined impacts for simulated irrigated and rainfed yield and irrigation water requirements (IWR). This study highlights the need to:
- Separately quantify the impact of input data aggregation on model outputs to inform about data aggregation error.
- Identify those variables that explain these aggregation errors.
In line with previous studies, DAEc was mainly driven by differences in elevation and DAEs were largely influenced by soil properties. Climate input data, mainly rainfall, play a key role as a driver of potato yield variability at high spatial resolution. At coarser resolutions, soil data aggregation can strongly affect simulated potato yield (under rainfed conditions) and IWR. This study can guide crop modelers when choosing the spatial resolution for regional simulation related to regional water use and climate change impact assessments. More research is needed to assess model responses to other potato management practices, such as nitrogen fertilization rate, planting density, and genotype. Crop modeling using input data at coarse resolution needs to consider DAEc and DAEs to quantify the bias associated with data aggregation. This bias, which may be significant, may skew decisionmaking at the regional level.
Paper published in Science of the Total Environment
Dr Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei and Dr Stefan Siebert
Australia-Germany Joint Research Co-operation Scheme, Universities Australia, German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD)
- Uncertainty decomposition in crop models
- Estimating Uncertainty in Crop Models
- Bestiapop - A python package for climate data extraction, processing and visualisation in crop models
- Wageningen University, University of Gottingen and ZALF
- Modelling inter-annual variation in dry matter yield and precipitation use efficiency of perennial pastures and annual forage crops sequences